I'm a bit tired about the announcers talking about the Giants having no power. Panda has power, he just was injured this season. Plus Posey and Pence have a history of power, plus Belt some too. I also noted a couple of other errors they made (and I only watched the last half of the game) via Sulia and Twitter. And it sucks that we have to see A.J. Pierzitski on the crew, really, there was nobody else available?
Game 2: Fister vs. Bumgarner
Doug Fister: Fister has two no-decisions to show for 13 1/3 innings of two-run ball this postseason, but the Tigers have won both games. Detroit would gladly take more of the same from the righty who owns a 1.98 career ERA against the National League
Madison Bumgarner: Bumgarner will start Game 2 of the World Series on 11 days of rest. In Game 1 vs. St. Louis, the left-hander allowed six runs, but he believes he's fixed a mechanical flaw.Fister has no history against the Giants. He has only faced Scutaro, dominating him, .091/.231/.091/.322 in 13 PA with only 1 strikeout, suggesting Marco was BABIPed and should hit him well enough.
Doug has been very good against RHB, still good but worse against LHB: vs. RHB, .251/.299/.342/.641; vs. LHB, .257/.296/.405/.701. He has also been worse on the road: road, 3.96 ERA, .268/.313/.404/.716; home, 3.12 ERA, .244/.285/.357/.642. With a lot of LHB (Pagan, Sandoval, Belt, and Crawford) plus Posey and Pence, both who hit RHP well during their careers, they should be able to hit him well enough in this game in AT&T.
Fister has a low career K/9, only 6.1, suggesting that he's not that great a starter for the playoffs, but he clearly is different with the Tigers, roughly 7.5 K/9, meaning his rate before was around 5.2, which is really poor. His K/BB with the Tigers was 4.62, much better than the 2.76 he had before.
Madison also had no history against the Tigers. But he has faced a lot of their players when with other teams: Fielder .429/.600/.429/1.029 in 10 PA; Infante 3 for 9; Jackson 2 for 3; Cabrera 1 for 3; Young 1 for 1; Avila 0 for 3; Peralta 0 for 3. Looks like he really needs to watch out for Fielder, Infante, and maybe Jackson.
Bumgarner is also better at home than on the road, 3.08 vs. 3.32. And better against LHB than RHB: vs. LHB .226/.268/.334/.602; RHB .259/.307/.400/.707. The Tigers have not done that well against LHP, as I noted in the Game 1 notes, so Madison should have a good start.
However, he not been very good in the playoffs. He has had two DIS starts so far, while Fister had two DOM starts. During the season, however, Fister only had a 52% DOM and 20% DIS (relatively bad; best pitchers are in low to mid teens), while Bumgarner had a 65% DOM and 13% DIS. So Madison has been a better pitcher than Fister this season, though Fister did miss a number of starts due to injuries. He ended the season with 3 DIS starts out of his last 8 starts, so he was having some difficulties to end the season,
Neither pitchers have had Dan Iassogna as home plate umpire before.
If Bumgarner has fixed his mechanics as he and the Giants believed, he should be tough for the Tigers to beat. But if he is off again, will Lincecum be ready to pitch multiple innings again for us? But again, the Tigers have done poorly against LHP before, though they were .500 overall, roughly, so they still could win it, 50/50, given that, but they do generally hit worse against LHP.
Fister has been great in the playoffs, but was struggling at the end of the season, so he could be due for a hiccup and a DIS start. He might get nervous because he was a Giants fan growing up, pitching in the park of his youth, so perhaps he gets ampped up and over throw, leading to the Giants hitting him around.
Most probably the game should be a tight game. But it won't be surprising if either pitcher just loses it and lose the game for their team. However, the hitters have been hot for the Giants, scoring 5 or more runs in four straight games now, with Scutaro and Pablo forming a Venezuelan hitting duo supported by Pagan, Posey, Pence, Belt, Blanco, and Crawford, though the bottom four of the lineup was a combined 0 for 15, with one walk in the first W.S. game. But they played well enough in the Cards series, particularly Belt, but also Crawford drove in 5 hits, getting his hits in key situations, second to only Pablo for the series. And Blanco scored 6 runs (Belt too) and Pence 4 runs.
We should have a good chance of winning but also a good chance of losing. But if Bumgarner really is fixed up, I feel great about our chances, it should be a low score again for the Tigers, and Fister has not been a big game pitcher at any point of his career, though obviously a good pitcher, so I don't see him as a big game pitcher, and this is pretty much a must win game for the Tigers or they will return home down 0-2 in the series. Add to that he was a Giants fan growing up, which could lead to over throwing and the Giants scoring a bunch of runs again.
I know Bumgarner burned me last time, but I have to think that the Giants would not have started him if they did not think that he made enough progress with his mechanics to pitch well. And if he pitches well, I think we have a good chance of winning Game 2, and by a good margin.